S&P 500

CME futures · ES front month

Risk calculator

MES · $5.00/pt · $1.25/tick

Account
Max risk ($)
Stop distance (pts)

Contracts

0

(MES)

Risk / Contract

$102.50

Stop × point value

Total Risk

$0

Stop Distance

20.5 pts

Est. ticks: 82

🟡 Stop wide for max risk — fewer than 1 contract possible

Market News & Sentiment

Best trading times

  • NY CORE
    BEST
    9:30 – 11:30 AM ET

    Highest volume & volatility

S&P 500 · ES
MONITORING SHORT
Trigger
$5,288–5,295
Stop
$5,312
Target
$5,255
Risk to Reward1.8 : 1
Confidence
71%Setup B (3/5)

NY Core · Setup: B (3/5)

Circuit breaker

Abort monitor if ES reclaims 5,320 on a closing 15m basis.

Signal history

Full log →
DateDirEntryOutcomeP&L (micro)
Mar 26LONG4,812TP1+$300
Mar 25LONG4,798TP2+$520
Mar 24SHORT4,821Cancelled$0

30d demo: win rate 60% · profit factor 2.1 · avg R:R 1.8 — ES

Contract specifications

Full
$50 per index point
Micro
1/10th ES (MES) — $5 per index point
Tick
0.25 index points
Tick $ (full)
$12.50 per tick
Tick $ (micro)
$1.25 per tick
Hours
Sun 6PM – Fri 5PM ET
Venue
CME Group
Typical range
40–90 points

Risk reference (illustrative)

Stop sizeFull $Micro $
10 ticks10 × tick value10 × tick value
20 ticks20 × tick value20 × tick value

A "$10 stop" on Gold = $10/oz × 10oz (micro) = $100 risk. Never interpret dollar stop as dollar risk.

How ES relates

⚠️ SMT alert active

  • ESpositiveNQdowndownNormal

    Moving together as expected (normal). Both falling in risk-off environment.

  • ESdivergingNQflatdownWatch

    SMT ALERT: NQ making new session low while ES is holding. This divergence often precedes an NQ reversal. Watch for NQ long setup in the 19,180-19,200 zone.

Economic impact history

Demo: last 30 sessions with tier-1 prints — ES showed average true range expansion of 1.15× baseline on CPI/FOMC days. Use the calendar panel for forward events.

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